axon. by zerm
01 monday · 06:42 GST · dubai

Good morning, Maryam.

CMO of a six-brand retail group. This is her flagship Dubai store — where last week's revenue closed +12.4%. Before her coffee is made, four questions: where do we stand, why, what if, and what now.

She opens axon.

what she sees
02 06:43 GST · the surface

Four lenses on one canvas.

Four views on the same underlying state. Understand — where the business stands. Explain — why any number moved. Simulate — what would happen if you acted. Act — what to do this week.

lens · Understand
"Why did revenue grow this week?"
traced in 47 sec · 9 nodes
revenue · this week +12.4% w/w
AED 1.82M
Verified causal contribution: +10.7pp across 3 causes. Correlated but not yet causal: +2.2pp. Click any row to open the trace.
competitor Carrefour 20% off — expired d-2 +5.4pp causal · 81%
aggregator Noon ranking shift · d-5 +3.2pp causal · 74%
product fresh ready-meals add-on uptick +2.1pp causal · 69%
calendar DSF finale — Sunday +1.4pp correlated
weather Rainfall · Dubai +0.8pp correlated
Causal and correlated signals are mathematically separated. Clicking a row opens the full step-by-step derivation.
"What happens if I act?"
counterfactual · do(·) on the causal graph
do( shift AED 4K/day Talabat → Noon ) → footfall & margin
+AED 1.1M
conf 0.61
Before she commits, axon. runs each move as an intervention on the graph — every recommendation in Act is a Simulate that already cleared its counterfactual.
"What should I do this week?"
recommendations · sim-validated
Promote family value bundle to peak-hour slot in Dubai
+AED 2.4M
conf 0.62
Drop base price on fresh ready-meals (-12% projected margin impact)
+AED 1.9M
HITL required
Shift AED 4K/day from Talabat to Noon — Dubai, peak evening window 18:00–22:00
+AED 1.1M
conf 0.61
Smaller actions ship the moment Maryam taps approve. Larger actions — price drops, store pauses — wait for a human. Her thumb is the safety valve.
"What's the state of the business?"
six metrics · live
revenue 28d AED 174M +8.1% vs prior
aov AED 462 +AED 14 vs prior
orders 28d 377K +5.4% vs prior
aggregator mix 62 / 38 Noon / Talabat
attach rate 28% +3pp vs prior
refunds 2.4% +0.4pp · audit
Each tile is live. Click to expand. Hover to see what changed since yesterday.
03 06:51 GST · why?

She asks: why did revenue grow?

axon. traces the causal path in front of her — outcome on the left, what moved in the middle, what caused it on the right. Hover any node to follow its path back to root.

Trace 06:51 · 47 seconds · 9 nodes
tenant: zerOm/cmo complete
builds up to builds up to builds up to caused · 81% caused · 74% linked · 44% linked · 38% caused · 69% the question Revenue, this week +12.4% what moved Order volume +8.6% what moved Avg order value +AED 14 what moved Channel mix +3pp Noon competitor event Carrefour 20% off — expired d-2 +5.4pp from this aggregator change Noon ranking shift · d-5 +3.2pp from this calendar overlap DSF finale — Sunday +1.4pp · linked, not causal weather Rainfall · Dubai +0.8pp · linked, not causal product attach fresh ready-meals add-on uptick +2.1pp from this
Maryam can replay this trace any time, share it, or click any node to drill in.
builds up to caused by related to (not yet causal) Hover any box to follow its path
04 07:08 GST · she acts

She picks one. axon. asks her to confirm.

Four recommendations, ranked by projected lift. She picks the strongest — re-running last quarter's BurgerStack discount, online-only, seven days. axon. doesn't ship it on its own. Her thumb is the safety valve.

recommendation 1 of 4 confidence 0.79
Re-run BurgerStack discount — 15% off, 7 days, online-only
projected lift
+AED 3.8M
margin impact
−2.1pp
window
May 19 → 25
Why we're asking. This action ships a price change above your auto-run threshold, so axon. waits for your tap.

She taps approve. The discount is live by 07:11. axon. logs who, when, and why.

05 11:47 GST · while she's in a meeting

A pattern Maryam didn't ask about.

Maryam is in a partnership review. axon. is still working. It notices something a dashboard would not have flagged: across the last 28 days, Dubai fresh ready-meals refund requests are up 12% — but only on Saturdays, only between 21:30 and 23:00, only from the late-night dispatch slot. None of her dashboards would have surfaced this. It puts the finding on her queue.

noticed at 11:47 · low priority · waiting for you
Saturday-night refund spike — Dubai, fresh ready-meals only
Refunds up +12% in this 90-min window across the last four Saturdays. Could be packaging holding under late-night humidity, could be a single delivery rider, could be spoiled stock from the evening batch. axon. has three suggested questions ready.

No alert. No interruption. Just waiting when she's ready.

06 19:14 GST · end of day

The lift came in.

Last week, when Maryam approved the Carrefour competitor-window discount, axon. predicted +AED 2.8M lift with 0.74 confidence. Tonight, the sales ledger reconciles. The next time a similar pattern appears, axon's confidence shifts a little — because it learned from yesterday.

last week's decision · closed loop
axon. predicted
+AED 2.8M
actual lift
+AED 3.1M
confidence then
0.74
calibrated to
0.78
Maryam doesn't need to read this. axon. updates the model on its own. The next time she approves a similar action, the projection will be a touch closer to reality — because last week's truth is in the graph now.
07 six months later

It is another Monday. Her coffee is being made. The morning is faster than it used to be.

Six months in, the questions Maryam asks are better. The trace of how every revenue number got there is in the graph. When her CFO asks where a 4% margin shift came from last month, she doesn't go looking. She opens the trace.

Her team uses the same surface. New hires onboard against real decisions and their real outcomes, not screenshots from a deck. The graph keeps growing. Mondays keep getting quieter.